Our Main Page

E Mail us with your comments

August 19  Photos from the beach

Photos

August 22

We're getting the crap knocked out of us right now, with 65 MPH winds and heavy rains, really heavy rains.  Never think that when an eye passes by you your done with the storm.  We probably have a couple more days of this to go before it's all over, that is if Fay doesn't turn around again.  Of course there is another storm out in the Atlantic that might be headed this way.  We'll do some maps of that soon.

August 20

She's starting to come at us at full force right now. We can hear the surf from here and we are a mile away, kinda like thunder, and awesome sound. The Center of this storm is about 20 miles to the south righ now and we have wind and heavy rain. They say it is going to get worse tonight, so we are taking showers and getting ready for the power to be out. Actually this is kinda fun. We went to the beach awhile ago and the wind was very strong and the spray almost unbearable. The power is flickering a bit so we are gonna shut down for now and ride it out. See ya on the other side and Floridians, keep your head down and take care.

The Ocean right now



This is a very disorganized storm but I have to admit, one of the hardest storms to track I have ever seen.  It seems to not be bothered by land and just keeps grinding away at Cuba.

It has started it's turn to the north and will be effected by a high to the east of Florida and a trough to the northwest.  The next 12 hours will tell the whole story

August 18, 2008

Have been watching the bloggers today on the Weather Underground, speculate about the shifting models and strike probabilities.  And no matter what they say this storm is one of the most unusual I have ever tracked.  Needless to say anything can happen at this point, it can come in as a tropical storm or hit us as a Cat 2 or 3, in any case it will be a force to reckon with if it makes landfall in Florida.  The radar in Miami is starting to show some banding so the show is on.  I'm going to tend to stick with the GFDL model and suspect it will shift east a bit. Landfall near Naples in the morning

Photo from 4PM

August 19

Tropical storm Fay live up to her reputation as the Joker as she gains strength after making landfall.  The models as of this posting...

11:45  Fay is entering the Atlantic Ocean after one of the criziest days ever. The storm gained intensity over land and did quite a bit of damage.  As things stand right now, Fay is too turn to the North, develop into a Cat 1 or 2 storm, then turn west and head back to the gulf. St Augustine and Palm Coast are on the path for this return.  If this happens and we believe it will, we are screwed. Too late to get out, so here we are.  Photos, ok that's what we will do, LOL  If we don't answer E Mails for awhile, it's cause the powers out. 

August 22 Atlantic Map

The most reliable models so far have been GFS, GFDL, & UKMET

 Archives

August 5, 2008

Time to give this girl her own page

August 15  TS Fay

This storm just became a tropical storm this afternoon.  In my opinion this one won't do much as it has a long ways to go till it hits a more desirable climate to develop.  It has mountains and very dry air to go through before it hits the open water south of us.  Never-the-less it's one to watch.  Secondly the storm to keep an eye on is Invest 93L.

 

Just for forecasting sake, I'll throw my 2 cents in here.  In the past few hours it appears that Fay has slipped a bit to the south.  If this is the case,  then there is a bit more to worry about where we are at.  By slipping south of Cuba it will have more time over water before it takes the expected turn north.  If this is the case and Fay is on a northward path as it crosses Cuba, it will have 90 degree water to fuel it.  My best guess at this writing this is the path it will take and if it slows which I suspect, we will probably be looking a Category 3 by Wednesday night.  This is just my guess, but it's what we are planning for. We just have to watch the COC at this point and see what happens.  There are few historic scenarios that we can compare this to, as generally these storms just punch you in the nose and go their own way.  A glancing event like this could effect both coasts.  Remember the northwest corner of the storm near the eye wall is the strongest part, containing the strongest winds and the most tornadic activity.  It too late for us to get out of here if that scenario happens so we'll be taking storm pictures, and keeping you posted as long as we can.  And, who knows maybe it will stay on a westward track and miss us altogether.


August 17

Strike Map

This is a very disorganized storm but I have to admit, one of the hardest storms to track I have ever seen.  It seems to not be bothered by land and just keeps grinding away at Cuba.

It has started it's turn to the north and will be effected by a high to the east of Florida and a trough to the northwest.  The next 12 hours will tell the whole story

7:30 Sunday

Have been watching the bloggers today on the Weather Underground, speculate and the shifting models and strike probabilities.  And no matter what they say this storm is one of the most unusual I have ever tracked.  Needless to say anything can happen at this point, it can come in as a tropical storm or hit us as a Cat 2 or 3, in any case it will be a force to reckon with if it makes landfall in Florida.  The radar in Miami is starting to show some banding so the show is on.  I'm going to tend to stick with the GFDL model and suspect it will shift east a bit.  Still gonna stick to a Cat 2 Wednesday with a landfall near Tampa.

 

August 18